Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.038520 0.041926 0.045360 0.049076 0.052975 0.056941 0.061273
2025-10-12 0.033046 0.038058 0.043281 0.049106 0.055398 0.061967 0.069320
2025-10-19 0.029228 0.035421 0.042067 0.049675 0.058088 0.067058 0.077293
2025-10-26 0.026215 0.033304 0.041118 0.050268 0.060595 0.071799 0.084787
2025-11-02 0.022336 0.029845 0.038356 0.048559 0.060307 0.073273 0.088530
2025-11-09 0.019767 0.027668 0.036853 0.048092 0.061258 0.075998 0.093557
2025-11-16 0.017681 0.025884 0.035652 0.047833 0.062327 0.078763 0.098554
2025-11-23 0.016724 0.025397 0.035926 0.049255 0.065306 0.083685 0.105996
2025-11-30 0.015736 0.024781 0.035973 0.050344 0.067849 0.088073 0.112810
2025-12-07 0.014670 0.023977 0.035717 0.051006 0.069838 0.091785 0.118820
2025-12-14 0.013467 0.022902 0.035045 0.051093 0.071082 0.094583 0.123739
2025-12-21 0.012828 0.022545 0.035257 0.052253 0.073615 0.098901 0.130445
2025-12-28 0.011425 0.021053 0.033949 0.051475 0.073774 0.100415 0.133897
2026-01-04 0.010541 0.020243 0.033500 0.051764 0.075238 0.103496 0.139224
2026-01-11 0.009885 0.019718 0.033399 0.052479 0.077220 0.107199 0.145300
2026-01-18 0.009270 0.019209 0.033287 0.053156 0.079140 0.110822 0.151285
2026-01-25 0.007941 0.017492 0.031411 0.051416 0.077918 0.110538 0.152503
2026-02-01 0.007118 0.016507 0.030515 0.050947 0.078293 0.112201 0.156070
2026-02-08 0.006424 0.015677 0.029799 0.050686 0.078910 0.114146 0.159970
2026-02-15 0.006247 0.015710 0.030344 0.052163 0.081807 0.118958 0.167413
2026-02-22 0.005992 0.015587 0.030645 0.053293 0.084246 0.123198 0.174160
2026-03-01 0.005646 0.015273 0.030640 0.053981 0.086092 0.126687 0.179985
2026-03-08 0.005184 0.014711 0.030226 0.054071 0.087128 0.129142 0.184522